Evaluating the effect of Chinese control measures on COVID-19 via temporal reproduction number estimation

Duanbing Chen and Tao Zhou

PLOS ONE, 2021, vol. 16, issue 2, 1-13

Abstract: Control measures are necessary to contain the spread of serious infectious diseases such as COVID-19, especially in its early stage. We propose to use temporal reproduction number an extension of effective reproduction number, to evaluate the efficacy of control measures, and establish a Monte-Carlo method to estimate the temporal reproduction number without complete information about symptom onsets. The province-level analysis indicates that the effective reproduction numbers of the majority of provinces in mainland China got down to

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0246715

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246715

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