The Brazilian National Oral Health Policy and oral cancer mortality trends: An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model
Elisa Miranda Costa,
Elisa Santos Magalhães Rodrigues,
Francenilde Silva de Sousa,
Felipe Bezerra Pimentel,
Mariana Borges Sodré Lopes,
João Ricardo Nickenig Vissoci and
Erika Barbara Abreu Fonseca Thomaz
PLOS ONE, 2023, vol. 18, issue 9, 1-12
Abstract:
Objective: This study analyzes the effect of the Brazilian National Oral Health Policy (NOHP) on oral cancer mortality rates (OCMR). Method: This is an ecological study with secondary oral cancer death data, using interrupted time series analysis (ARIMA, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Annual death data were collected from the Mortality Information System (1996–2019). The outcome was the OCMR, standardized by gender and age We considered the NOHP, categorized as “0” (before its implementation), from 1996 to 2004, and “1 to 15”, from 2005 to 2019. ARIMA modeling was carried out for temporal analysis, and regression coefficient estimation (RC). Results: The Brazilian NOHP implementation was associated with an increase in OCMR in the North region (CR = 0.16; p = 0.022) and with a decrease in the Southeast region (CR = -0.04; p
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0291609
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0291609
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