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Challenging the N-Heuristic: Effect size, not sample size, predicts the replicability of psychological science

Xingyu Li, Jiting Liu, Weijia Gao and Geoffrey L Cohen

PLOS ONE, 2024, vol. 19, issue 8, 1-15

Abstract: Large sample size (N) is seen as a key criterion in judging the replicability of psychological research, a phenomenon we refer to as the N-Heuristic. This heuristic has led to the incentivization of fast, online, non-behavioral studies—to the potential detriment of psychological science. While large N should in principle increase statistical power and thus the replicability of effects, in practice it may not. Large-N studies may have other attributes that undercut their power or validity. Consolidating data from all systematic, large-scale attempts at replication (N = 307 original-replication study pairs), we find that the original study’s sample size did not predict its likelihood of being replicated (rs = -0.02, p = 0.741), even with study design and research area controlled. By contrast, effect size emerged as a substantial predictor (rs = 0.21, p

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0306911

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306911

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