Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIVS epidemic model with the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and vaccination of newborns

Shenxing Li and Wenhe Li

PLOS ONE, 2024, vol. 19, issue 10, 1-26

Abstract: In this paper, we study a stochastic SIVS infectious disease model with the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and newborns with vaccination. First, we demonstrate the theoretical existence of a unique global positive solution in accordance with this model. Second, adequate conditions are inferred for the infectious disease to die out and persist. Then, by classic Lynapunov function method, the stochastic model is allowed to obtain the sufficient condition so that the stochastic model has a stationary distribution represents illness persistence in the absence of endemic equilibrium. Calculating the associated Fokker-Planck equations yields the precise expression of the probability density function for the linearized system surrounding the quasi-endemic equilibrium. In the end, the theoretical findings are shown by numerical simulations.

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0310175

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310175

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