Exploring the dual relationship between fintech and financial inclusion in developing countries and their impact on economic growth: Supplement or substitute?

Chadi Azmeh and Marwan Al-Raeei

PLOS ONE, 2024, vol. 19, issue 12, 1-22

Abstract: This study rigorously examines the complex interplay between financial technology (Fintech), financial inclusion, and their collective effects on economic growth in developing nations. Employing a robust panel regression methodology enhanced by Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) and Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) techniques, this research analyzes an extensive dataset comprising 108 countries categorized into low, lower-middle, and upper-middle income levels across four pivotal years (2011, 2014, 2017, and 2021). Our analysis focuses on two key dimensions of Fintech—specifically, the adoption of digital payments and e-commerce via mobile technologies—and traditional financial access indicators, including the density of ATMs, bank branches, and active banking accounts. The findings demonstrate a predominantly positive effect of Fintech variables on economic growth, particularly through improved digital payment systems. Conversely, traditional financial inclusion metrics frequently show a negative correlation with growth trajectories. Notably, our research underscores a significant positive interaction between digital payment usage and ATM density, indicating a synergistic relationship that enhances the performance of traditional banking systems. In contrast, a substitutability effect arises, where increased dependence on mobile technologies diminishes the relevance of traditional financial infrastructure, potentially obstructing broader economic growth. These findings carry critical policy implications, advocating for a cohesive strategy that fosters both Fintech innovations and traditional financial sectors to maximize economic growth and inclusivity. A deliberate emphasis on synchronizing innovative financial solutions with the strengthening of conventional banking is essential for promoting sustainable economic development in these resource-constrained regions.

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0315174

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0315174

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