Heterogeneity of diagnosis and documentation of post-COVID conditions in primary care: A machine learning analysis
Nathaniel Hendrix,
Rishi V Parikh,
Madeline Taskier,
Grace Walter,
Ilia Rochlin,
Sharon Saydah,
Emilia H Koumans,
Oscar Rincón-Guevara,
David H Rehkopf and
Robert L Phillips
PLOS ONE, 2025, vol. 20, issue 5, 1-12
Abstract:
Background: Post-COVID conditions (PCC) have proven difficult to diagnose. In this retrospective observational study, we aimed to characterize the level of variation in PCC diagnoses observed across clinicians from a number of methodological angles and to determine whether natural language classifiers trained on clinical notes can reconcile differences in diagnostic definitions. Methods: We used data from 519 primary care clinics around the United States who were in the American Family Cohort registry between October 1, 2021 (when the ICD-10 code for PCC was activated) and November 1, 2023. There were 6,116 patients with a diagnostic code for PCC (U09.9), and 5,020 with diagnostic codes for both PCC and COVID-19. We explored these data using 4 different outcomes: 1) Time between COVID-19 and PCC diagnostic codes; 2) Count of patients with PCC diagnostic codes per clinician; 3) Patient-specific probability of PCC diagnostic code based on patient and clinician characteristics; and 4) Performance of a natural language classifier trained on notes from 5,000 patients annotated by two physicians to indicate probable PCC. Results: Of patients with diagnostic codes for PCC and COVID-19, 61.3% were diagnosed with PCC less than 12 weeks after initial recorded COVID-19. Clinicians in the top 1% of diagnostic propensity accounted for more than a third of all PCC diagnoses (35.8%). Comparing LASSO logistic regressions predicting documentation of PCC diagnosis, a log-likelihood test showed significantly better fit when clinician and practice site indicators were included (p
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0324017
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0324017
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