An integrated multi-criteria decision-making model for long-term planning of UAVs in disaster management

Mustafa Erdem Bakir and Fatih Kasimoglu

PLOS ONE, 2026, vol. 21, issue 1, 1-24

Abstract: With their superior capabilities, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) play a crucial role in search, rescue, and surveillance operations in disaster management. It is of great importance in the long run to optimally designate the base locations and deployment plans of the UAVs needing a base for their operations. In this study, we develop an integrated multi-criteria decision-making model to select bases and plan missions of UAVs using a combination of multi-attribute and multi-objective optimization techniques, with the decision maker having an interactive role. We formulate a goal programming model in which the number of bases, flight distance, unairworthy days, and cost are jointly minimized. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to designate the associated goal weights. We develop Algorithm 1 to identify the target level for each goal and Algorithm 2 to refine the model for better solutions. We apply the process in a problem setting where designated disaster activity zones (DAZs) need to be covered by some candidate bases, among which an optimal selection is made. The model’s validation and refinement were evaluated across multiple scenarios. The illustrative example yields improvements of 8.57% in cost in the first scenario and 7.54% in distance in the second. The third scenario achieves 7.66% and 6.58% improvements in distance and cost, respectively. A real-world earthquake scenario from Türkiye further demonstrates the model’s practical applicability, with 5% improvement in distance and 14.8% in cost. The results of the proposed decision-making process guarantee satisfactory solutions for long-term base and operational planning of UAVs.

Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0340303

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0340303

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