An optimization method for flexible interconnection planning based on improved CNN-LSTM prediction and tunable relative entropy-driven chaotic evolution

Xiaoyan Zhao, Xubin Xing, Xiaoyan Guo, Jian Chao, Dapeng Hu and Xiangtao Zhuan

PLOS ONE, 2026, vol. 21, issue 6, 1-18

Abstract: As power systems evolve towards greater intelligence and flexibility, flexible interconnection technology has emerged as a critical means to enhance operational reliability and economic performance. This paper presents a data-model dual-driven planning methodology for flexible interconnection systems, integrating a multi-scale spatio-temporal cross-enhanced CNN-LSTM model for load forecasting with a Chaotic Evolutionary Optimization (CEO) algorithm to optimize system design. The proposed framework first constructs an improved CNN-LSTM hybrid architecture, trained on historical load data and simulated feature sets, to predict future load profiles. A novel Tunable Relative Entropy (TRE) metric is introduced as a complementarity quantification index, forming a multi-objective function that incorporates system balance, reliability, economy, and spatio-temporal complementarity. The CEO algorithm is then employed to solve the optimization model, determining the optimal system configuration and operational parameters. Experimental evaluations demonstrate that the forecasting module achieves high accuracy, with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.000368 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.006334. Moreover, the TRE index improves complementarity efficiency by 3.8%. By leveraging the predictive capability of the hybrid neural network and the CEO algorithm’s optimization efficacy, the proposed approach not only reduces load fluctuation indices but also enhances planning efficiency and operational economy, offering a viable pathway for intelligent power system development.

Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0351324

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0351324

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