Issues regarding forecasting a crisis in Romania

Bradut Vasile Bolos
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Bradut Vasile Bolos: Petru Maior University, Tîrgu Mures, Nicolae Iorga,no.1, Tîrgu Mures, 540088, Romania

Acta Marisiensis. Series Oeconomica, 2017, vol. 1, 63-74

Abstract: The paper approaches a piece of a larger effort to create a modell for predicting the economic crises in Romania. As method we study the premises that should be considered when such a forecastig is done. Apparently based upun GDP data endogenous recessions cannot be identified and separated from exogenous shocks.

Keywords: economic crisis; GDP (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E02 E65 H12 N14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pmu:oecono:v:1:y:2017:p:63-74

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