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Evolvement of Global Value Chain Positions in Central and Eastern European Countries: A New Dimension in Catching Up?

Zoltán Fülöp

Central European Business Review, 2023, vol. 2023, issue 3, 47-80

Abstract: The paper examines the evolvements in the global value chain positions of the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. This approach enables us to reveal both economic and sector-level structural changes in the economic catching-up process. To study the structural patterns, we developed a modified smile curve framework that combines the value-added ratio and upstreamness index. Data were derived from the WIOD database from 2000 to 2014. By undergoing a significant catch-up in the last decades, CEE countries have shown considerably different patterns in their evolvements of GVC positions. Regarding the economy level, we concluded that leading economies can be described by a "U"-shaped smile curve over the period. There are two further dominant patterns that have become widespread among the CEE countries. Until 2014, the most common structure is marked by a "/" shape, which reflects an upstream-weak economy (e.g., BGR 2000; HUN 2000; LVA 2014). The second most common structure is marked by an inverted "U" shape ("^" shape), which denotes a manufacturing-heavy economy (e.g., EST 2000; POL 2000; HUN 2014; POL 2014). There is no significant difference in the added value ratio of the manufacturing sectors compared to the western countries. Implications for Central European audience: Typically, the CEE countries are shifting towards supplier positions and sectors with less complex output, resulting in the flattening and twisting of the "U" shape. While most studies focus on a single sector or region, this study involves many sectors and many countries that provide a real global context, thus extending the GVC-related empirical studies concerning the CEER. To further facilitate the significant catching-up process, the upstream-weak economies should develop their structure in a way that less simple and specialised production processes are done at a high rate in any sector. Heavy manufacturing should elaborate market connections and develop connections to customers. It alerts that a transition is required from extensive to intensive and knowledge-based developments.

Keywords: global value chain; catching up; smile curve; value added ratio; upstreamness; downstreamness; CEE countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 O11 O14 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.326

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