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Models of Factors Driving the Czech Export

David Havrlant and Roman Hušek

Prague Economic Papers, 2011, vol. 2011, issue 3, 195-215

Abstract: This paper aims to analyze the cost factors that influence the export of the Czech Republic, and to estimate models suitable for quantitative analysis of export and its prediction. According to the macroeconomic theory, the fundamental export factors include foreign demand, domestic and foreign price level and exchange rate. Foreign demand reflects the business cycle of foreign economy, price levels and exchange rate characterize the competitiveness of the exported goods, and the exchange rate determines, among others, the production costs through the prices of imported crucial inputs. Several models are applied to set of these variables, and their impact on the export dynamics of the Czech Republic is evaluated.

Keywords: export; exchange rate; cointegration analysis; VECM; import; producer and energy prices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C53 F47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.396

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Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2011:y:2011:i:3:id:396:p:195-215