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Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy in Developed Countries: Does Governance Hinder?

Nguyen Van Bon

Prague Economic Papers, 2022, vol. 2022, issue 6, 482-508

Abstract: Fiscal policy is an effective instrument in helping governments in developed countries overcome a recession with a high unemployment rate or a hot economy with a high inflation rate to keep the economy on a stable path. Does governance contribute significantly to keeping this goal in these countries? The study looks for an answer by empirically investigating the role of governance in the output gap - fiscal policy relationship for a group of 27 developed countries between 2002 and 2019. It employs the difference GMM Arellano-Bond estimators and the PMG estimator for estimation and robustness check. The results provide some interesting findings. Firstly, both public spending and government revenue are counter-cyclical, confirming the counter-cyclical fiscal policy in developed countries. Secondly, governance hinders the counter-cyclical fiscal policy. The findings imply some crucial policies for governments in developed countries in running the fiscal policy.

Keywords: Counter-cyclical fiscal policy; governance; developed countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E62 H60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.814

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