Progrès technique, croissance et emploi: Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes

Robert Boyer and Pascal Petit ()

Revue Économique, 1981, vol. 32, issue 6, 1113-1153

Abstract: [fre] A moyen terme, les évolutions de la productivité industrielle dépendent non seulement de la croissance de la demande (loi dite de Kaldor-Verdoorn) mais aussi des rythmes d'accumulation et d'innovations techniques.. On estime, sur la période 1960-1976, dans six pays européens (RFA, France, Italie, Pays-Bas, Belgique, Royaume-Uni), un modèle à cinq équations montrant l'importance relative de ces différents déterminants. [eng] Technical progress, growth and employment ; . A Kaldorian model for six european industries. R. Boyer, P. Petit. At medium term industrial productivity is not only a function of demand (following the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law) but also of investment and technical change.. Pooling datas on four cycles 1960-1965, 1965-1969, 1969-1973, 1973-1976 for six countries (RFA, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, United Kingdom), a five equations model is estimated, exhibiting the relative influence of these various factors.. The consequences of different industrial policies (expanding demand or stimulating supply), in order to stop the de-industrialisation process, are then derived from simulations run with the model.

Date: 1981
Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1981.408633
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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