Profit inflation is real
Servaas Storm ()
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Servaas Storm: Delft University of Technology
PSL Quarterly Review, 2023, vol. 76, issue 306, 243-259
Abstract:
Discussions on "profit inflation" are mired in conceptual unclarities, definitional idiosyncrasies and data problems. This article attempts to bring conceptual clarity to the debate on profit inflation, defining profit inflation strictly as an increase in the gross output price that is caused by an increase in the profit mark-up (keeping all other unit cost items constant). Empirical evidence for the U.S. economy (2020-2022) shows that corporate profit mark-ups have indeed increased, raising both the aggregate profit share and the general price level. Hence, unlike in the 1970s, the recent inflationary episode is the outcome not of a wage-price spiral but of a profit mark-up-price spiral in which real wages get squeezed. However, the conflict underlying the recent surge in inflation concerns not just corporate shareholders profiteering at the cost of workers, but – importantly – also involves struggles between financial speculators (in oil and commodity markets) and the real economy.
Keywords: inflation; profit inflation; stagflation; mark-up pricing; profit share; energy and oil prices; speculation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E0 E5 E6 E62 I12 J08 O23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
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