The threshold analysis of the Official Development Assistance (ODA), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and economic growth in selected African countries

Vincent M. M. Moloi
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Vincent M. M. Moloi: University of South Africa

International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), 2024, vol. 13, issue 5, 558-570

Abstract: There is a scarcity of research on the analysis of thresholds of official development assistance (ODA), foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth in Africa. Most of the studies focused on analysing the correlation between official development assistance (ODA) or foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth. This study stands out from others by adopting a comprehensive approach to analyse the threshold analysis of ODA, FDI, and economic growth in many countries on a continental scale. We examine the threshold for ODA, FDI, and economic growth by analysing annual data from 1980 to 2018 in 30 African countries. The primary method used for the estimation was the panel threshold regression approach. The threshold analysis test assessed the impact of ODA, FDI, and economic growth. The current study utilised threshold analysis and found a positive coefficient of 0.0620, indicating a favourable correlation between FDI and economic growth. On the contrary, the negative coefficient of 0.0683 shows a detrimental correlation between ODA and economic growth. Therefore, officials must enforce the level of ODA that is necessary to stimulate FDI and foster economic growth in Africa. Furthermore, it is crucial for authorities to implement a monitoring system to closely monitor these thresholds and adjust the policy accordingly in response to changing economic situations. The findings of this study will not only contribute to academic discourse, but will also provide vital perspectives for politicians, practitioners, enterprises, and foreign investors on how to effectively implement policies that stimulate economic growth and attract foreign investment in Africa. Furthermore, this study offers recommendations for further research in the domain of international capital flows. Key Words:ODA, FDI, economic growth, Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality, African countries

Date: 2024
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