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Discretion rather than rules: Equilibrium uniqueness and forward guidance with inconsistent optimal plans

Jeffrey Campbell and Jacob Weber (jake.weber@ny.frb.org)

Review of Economic Dynamics, 2021, vol. 41, 243-254

Abstract: New Keynesian economies with active interest rate rules gain equilibrium determinacy from the central bank's incredible off-equilibrium-path promises (Cochrane, 2011). We suppose instead that the central bank sets interest rate paths and occasionally has the discretion to change them. With empirically-reasonable frequencies of central bank reoptimization, the monetary policy game has a unique Markov-perfect equilibrium wherein forward guidance influences current outcomes without displaying a forward guidance puzzle. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Keywords: Monetary policy; Open mouth operations; Quasi-commitment; Ramsey problem (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2020.11.005

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