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Probabilismo: ética y economía

Alberto Castrillón ()
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Alberto Castrillón: Universidad Externado de Colombia

Revista de Economía Institucional, 2003, vol. 5, issue 9, 55-77

Abstract: This essay makes reference to the Scholastic doctrine of moral probabilism and explores the possible links between this theological perspective and the modern concept of probability. It shows that these concepts are more related than is suggested by common etymological approaches. Moral probabilism helped confessors to solve cases of conscience, without reducing the problem of human liberty to the extremes of randomness or determinism. Also, it suggests an analogy between the probabilistic approach and Keynes’s Treatise on Probability: for both Scholastic authors and Keynes economic analysis emerges from moral analysis.

Keywords: probabilism; scholastic; ethics and economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A11 A12 B10 B11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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