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Transición y persistencia en el ciclo formal-informal en México: El papel del capital humano

Jaime J. Escobedo González and Jorge Moreno ()
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Jaime J. Escobedo González: Facultad de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León

Revista de Economía Laboral - Spanish Journal of Labour Economics, 2020, vol. 17, No 1, 45 pages

Abstract: This paper analyzes the role of human capital in the formal-informal transition of workers in Mexico. We create a dynamic pooled aligned panel of 44 quarters, using a series of quarterly panel data that follows each individual for 5 consecutive quarters, using the Mexican Employment Survey. Using this synthetic dataset we estimate a dynamic multinomial logit model and classify potential working force people in four labor states: formal, informal, unemployed, and outside the labor market. Our results show that: 1) persistence is greater in informality vs. formality, and 2) worker’s human capital plays an important role in formal-informal transitions. In particular, worker’s education not only increases the probability of being formal but also increases the probability of entering and/or remaining into formality.

Keywords: Human capital; labor informality; labor transitions; persistence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 C25 J24 J63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
Note: Vol. 17, Núm. 1 (2020)
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