Climate Change and Its Impact on Cash and Food Crop Production in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis

Chan Bibi and Muhammad Zahid Naeem
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Chan Bibi: Assistant Professor, Lahore School of Accountancy and Finance, University of Lahore, Pakistan
Muhammad Zahid Naeem: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of The Punjab, Pakistan

Journal of Policy Research (JPR), 2021, vol. 7, issue 4, 31-40

Abstract: This paper has examined the impact of climate change on cash and food crop production in Pakistan from 1980 to 2014. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and unit root test is used for examining the stationarity of the variables. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) is used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the production of cotton and wheat. The estimated results show that increased temperature has a negative and significant relationship between climate change and the production of cotton and wheat in Pakistan. Water availability, fertilizer offtake, and the cropped area have a positive and significant effect on climate change. Climate change hurts the production of cotton and wheat so Pakistan should take a step to cope with the changing climate conditions to increase productivity.

Keywords: Carbondioxide; Wheat area; Cotton area; Cropped area (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q10 Q35 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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