Global Climate Change and Its Impact on Agriculture Sector in Pakistan

Abdul Ghafoor Awan and Ghulam Yaseen
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Abdul Ghafoor Awan: Dean, Faculty of Management and Social Sciences, Institute of Southern Punjab, Multan, PAKISTAN
Ghulam Yaseen: M. Phil Scholar, Department of Economics, Institute of Southern Punjab, Multan, PAKISTAN

American Journal of Trade and Policy, 2017, vol. 4, issue 3, 109-116

Abstract: The impact of global climate change on the agriculture sector of Pakistan is estimated in Pakistan. Agriculture is considered the backbone of Pakistan's economy because more than 60% population is directly involved with this profession. Due to rapid industrialization, the temperature level is increasing due to rapid industrialization, which is harmful to crops and people. The objective of this research paper is to explore the impact of global warming on the agriculture sector of Pakistan and to measure climate impact on the agriculture sector in the future. Times series dataset from 1974 to 2013 is used to analyze the effects. Agriculture value added annual growth rate is used as the dependent variable. Carbon oxide emission, methane emission, nitrous oxide emission, greenhouse gas emission, and population density are explanatory variables. The autoregressive distributed lag model is used as a statistical technique to analyze the dataset. The result shows that the variables have a significant impact on the agriculture sector of Pakistan. The autoregressive distributed lag model presents the existence of the short-run and long-run relationship between the dependent and independent variables. In a policy, recommendation government tries to reduce warming through control of industrialization.

Keywords: CO2; Climate change; Agriculture productivity; ARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:ajotap:0072

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