Predicting success in college on the basis of the results of unified national exam

Oleg Poldin

Applied Econometrics, 2011, vol. 21, issue 1, 56-69

Abstract: This paper presents the results of econometric study on predicting first-year grade point average and dropout probability with national examination (EGE) results at the bachelor program in Economics in the Higher School of Economics. The use of a sum of four exams — math, social studies, Russian language and foreign language — shows worse fitting than a sum of three exams, excluding foreign language. In models with separate exams as regressors, the greatest effect on dependent variable provides math grades.

Keywords: university admission; entrance examination; predicting GPA; Tobit model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C24 I21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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