Oscillatory components in the bell-shaped curves of the product life cycle modeling tool

Valery Semenychev (), Eugene Kurkin (), Eugene Semenychev () and Anastasia Danilova ()
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Valery Semenychev: Samara Academy of State and Municipal Management
Eugene Kurkin: Samara Academy of State and Municipal Management
Eugene Semenychev: Samara Academy of State and Municipal Management
Anastasia Danilova: Samara Academy of State and Municipal Management

Applied Econometrics, 2014, vol. 33, issue 1, 111-123

Abstract: Product life cycle models set consisting of bell-shape trend models and five oscillating components structures was suggested. Genetic algorithm type method with ARMA model construction to allocate frequencies was submitted to model parameters identification. The examples of oil, gas and coal mining real samples modeling and forecasting with all proposed models were considered.

Keywords: product life cycle; bell-shape trend; oscillating component; genetic algorithm; ARMA model; oil; gas; coal; mining (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 D91 L71 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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