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Phillips Curve in a Small Open Economy: A Time Series Exploration of North Cyprus

Muhammad Shahbaz, Faridul Islam () and Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir
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Muhammad Shahbaz: Research Fellow, Centre for Research, Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Lahore , Pakistan
Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir: Head, Centre for Research, Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Lahore, Pakistan

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Muhammad Shahbaz

Bangladesh Development Studies, 2012, vol. 35, issue 4, 113-130

Abstract: The paper explores the existence and the stability of the Phillips curve using time series data for North Cyprus, a small developing economy. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration are used to explore the long run relation and ECM to understand short run dynamics. The predictive properties DOLS are better than those of the conventional methods. The estimates point to the existence of Phillips curve both in the long and the short run. CUSUM and CUSUMsq tests confirm the stable relation.

Keywords: Inflation; Unemployment; ADF; Cointegration; DOLS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E24 E31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Phillips curve in a small open economy: A time series exploration of North Cyprus (2011) Downloads
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