Business Cycles in the Maghreb: Does Trade Matter?

Jude Eggoh () and Aram Belhadj

Journal of Economic Integration, 2015, vol. 30, issue 3, 553-576

Abstract: In this paper, we test the Frankel & Rose hypothesis of Optimum Currency Area for the Maghreb countries by demonstrating how the co-movements of outputs would respond to a trade integration process. In particular, by using panel analysis over the period 1980~2010, we evaluate if a monetary integration project across these countries is endogenous. Our main result suggests that while trade intensity may help to harmonize business cycles, the magnitude of this harmonization is lower for the Maghreb countries than for industrial countries. This result is robust even when we take into consideration many control variables including intra-industry trade, economic diversification, and financial integration. Therefore, we suggest that an acceleration of trade linkage as well as product diversification should take place prior to any move towards monetary union across the Maghreb countries.

Keywords: Business Cycles; Trade Intensity; Intra-Industry Trade; Maghreb (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 F15 F41 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.e-jei.org/ Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Business Cycles in the Maghreb: Does Trade Matter? (2015)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:integr:0668

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Economic Integration is currently edited by Seongeun Kim

More articles in Journal of Economic Integration from Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Yunhoe Kim ().