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Causal Nexus between Financial Integration and Economic Growth: Does Nonlinearity Matter?

Sami Saafi (), Meriem Bel Haj Mohamed () and Makram Ben Doudou ()
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Sami Saafi: EAS – Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management of Mahdia University of Monastir, Postal: Mahdia Hiboun Cité Sidi Messaoud, Mahdia 5111, Tunisia
Meriem Bel Haj Mohamed: EAS – Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management of Mahdia University of Monastir, Postal: Mahdia Hiboun Cité Sidi Messaoud, Mahdia 5111, Tunisia
Makram Ben Doudou: EAS – Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management of Mahdia University of Monastir, Postal: Mahdia Hiboun Cité Sidi Messaoud, Mahdia 5111, Tunisia

Journal of Economic Integration, 2016, vol. 31, issue 4, 817-854

Abstract: Empirical studies that rely on a linear framework typically fail to find evidence of a causal link between financial integration and economic growth. In this study, we extend the analysis by applying both linear and nonlinear Granger-causality tests to data for 19 emerging and developing countries. Consistent with previous research, the linear causality analysis reveals only weak causal linkages between financial integration and economic growth. In contrast, the nonlinear causality analysis provides evidence of significant nonlinear causality in 18 out of 19 countries. The growth hypothesis holds true for Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Morocco, Tunisia, and Venezuela whereas a reverse relation was found in Brazil, Chile, Cote d’Ivoire, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Egypt, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, and Paraguay. The feedback hypothesis also exists in Bolivia and Uruguay. Overall, the divergent results in the 19 countries imply that policies cannot be uniformly implemented as there would have been different effects in each country.

Keywords: Financial Integration; Economic Growth; Nonlinear Granger Causality; Developing Countries; Emerging Economies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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