Productivity miracle in the aging industrial countries?

Dieter Bräuninger () and Norbert Walter ()
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Dieter Bräuninger: Deutsche Bank, Postal: Frankfurt, http://www.db.com/index_e.htm
Norbert Walter: Deutsche Bank, Postal: Frankfurt, http://www.db.com/index_e.htm

Journal of Financial Transformation, 2002, vol. 5, 13-22

Abstract: The combination of aging population and falling birthrates in the industrial countries will have particularly strong effects on the labor markets in Europe and Japan. It is anticipated that by 2050, the supply of labor in these markets could shrink by 15% and 30%, respectively, which would result in a growing shortage of young workers from the end of this decade. This growing scarcity of the factor labor will in turn result in a relatively strong rise in wages. This paper looks at the implications of a shortfall in the labor factor input and discusses how this potential crisis could be managed.

Keywords: Aging population; falling birthrates; supply of labor (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E23 E24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:jofitr:1288

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