Criminal spillovers in Brasilia’s integrated development region: An analysis of violent crime (2010-2017)

Luciano Pereira da Silva (lucianosrp@gmail.com), Ivanilton José de Oliveira (oliveira@ufg.br) and Carlos Eduardo Gomes (cegomes90@gmail.com)
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Luciano Pereira da Silva: Instituto Federal de Brasília (IFB)
Ivanilton José de Oliveira: Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)
Carlos Eduardo Gomes: Universidade Federal de Roraima (UFRR)

Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, 2022, vol. 16, issue 3, 387-410

Abstract: The objective of this article is to understand the spatial distribution of crime in Brasilia’s Integrated Development Region. It concludes that the crime rates in this region are not randomly distributed spatially, because an exploratory analysis of spatial data indicates the existence of spatial dependence. This means that the municipalities that border the Federal District are responsible for more than 80% of the crimes carried out in the period under examination. The main victims are young people, mainly black men shot by firearms, and the proportion of young people between 15 and 19 years of age was a determining factor in this positive correlation, among other significant conditions obtained by using estimates of spatial regressions using Spatial Durbin Models – SDM and data panels for the years 2010 to 2017. We detected a 51% incidence of spillovers for fatal crimes.

Keywords: Brasilia’s Integrated Development Region; Crime; Spatial Econometrics; Spillover (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: P48 R10 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:rberur:0154

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