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THE EPISTEMOLOGICAL ROLE OF S&P 500 SIGNAL’S NONSTATIONARITY ON INVESTORS’ DYNAMIC SENTIMENT FORMATION: EVIDENCE FOR INVESTORS’ PROSPECT THEORY PREFERENCES

Gojart Kamberi
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Gojart Kamberi: University of Skopje

UTMS Journal of Economics, 2023, vol. 14, issue 2, 160-165

Abstract: Financial signals’ abrupt spectral changes in temporal scale correspond to the perception bias on risk which is a well-known epistemologically decision-making factor in behavioral finance research. In this paper, we explored the epistemological role of S&P 500 signal’s non-stationarity on investors’ sentiment formation, by analyzing the time-frequency dependency of investors’ sentiment on the S&P 500 through a cross wavelet transform analysis to further explore their wavelet coherence (co-movements). Results indicate that S&P 500 signal’s abrupt spectral changes across time do have a statistically significant impact on the investors’ sentiment formation. Moreover, a comparative analysis of the wavelet coherences between the Bullish/Bearish market sentiments and the S&P 500’s signal, reveals the investors’ dynamic (historical) epistemological bias toward risk, which corresponds with the dynamic prospect theory investment preferences.

Keywords: signal; sentiment; time; frequency; epistemology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D87 G41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:utmsje:0354

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