External Debt Default and Foreign Direct Investments

Nachiket Thakkar and Kiran Ambreen Ayub

Bulletin of Applied Economics, 2022, vol. 9, issue 2, 223-237

Abstract: We analyze the effect of a country’s defaults and restructuring its’ official and private external debt on its ability to attract foreign direct investment. We use different types of foreign direct investments: FDI Flows, Horizontal FDI, vertical FDI, cross-border mergers & acquisitions, and greenfield FDI. Using the Poisson-Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation method, which has never been used in the literature to do a similar analysis, we find that external debt default decreases all types of FDIs. Furthermore, we also conduct a more granular sensitivity analysis by analyzing the effect of political risk ratings, effect on non-advanced economies, and effect on highly indebted poor countries (HIPC). We find that cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) decrease as corruption risk decreases and increases as law and order improve. For HIPC countries, official external debt restructuring increases greenfield FDI.

Keywords: Debt Default; Restructuring; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); External Debt; ICRG; Poisson-Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML); Political Risk. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C33 D72 F21 H63 O57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.riskmarket.co.uk/bae/journals-articles ... nload=attachment.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rmk:rmkbae:v:9:y:2022:i:2:p:223-237

Access Statistics for this article

Bulletin of Applied Economics is currently edited by Eleftherios Spyromitros

More articles in Bulletin of Applied Economics from Risk Market Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Eleftherios Spyromitros-Xioufis ().