The synergistic effect of NBIC-technologies and world economic growth in the first half of the XXI century

Синергетический эффект NBIC-технологий и мировой экономический рост в первой половине XXI века

Akaev, Askar (Акаев, Аскар) () and Rudskoy, Andrey (Рудской, Андрей) ()
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Akaev, Askar (Акаев, Аскар): Lomonosov Moscow State University
Rudskoy, Andrey (Рудской, Андрей): Saint-Petersburg Polytechnic University

Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2014, vol. 2, 25-46

Abstract: In this paper, it is predicted that the economies of the developed countries in 2014-2015 to begin a significant recovery, which in the years 2017-2018 will go into the rise of the 6th Kondratieff cycle of great economic (6th BCC 2018-2050 years). The basic innovations 6th BCC will be NBIC-technologies (nano-, bio-, info- and cognitive technologies). Locomotives upward wave 6th BCC will become the most developed countries: the US, EU and Japan - a recognized leaders in the research and development of NBIC-technologies. It is shown that NBIC-technologies thanks to the powerful synergetic effects created by the mutual convergence of the nano-, bio-, info- and cognitive technologies, will give a strong acceleration of the pace of technological progress, which exceeded the rate achieved in the previous upward wave, the 5th BCC (1982- 2006).

Keywords: the global economy; the growth rate; Kondratieff-Schumpeter theory; Hirooki paradigm; NBIC-convergence technology; synergy effect; Kondratieff cycles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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