EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

SOCIO-ECONOMIC THREATS TO DEMOGRAPHIC GROWTH IN RUSSIAN REGIONS: AN EMPIRICAL TEST BASED ON THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT

СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ УГРОЗЫ ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКОГО РОСТА В РОССИЙСКИХ РЕГИОНАХ: ЭМПИРИЧЕСКАЯ ПРОВЕРКА «ЯМЫ» ПО МАТЕРИАЛАМ СФО

Evgeny Kapoguzov, Karpov Valery (Карпов В.В.) and Chupin Roman (Чупин Р.И.)
Additional contact information
Karpov Valery (Карпов В.В.): Omsk scientific center of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences
Chupin Roman (Чупин Р.И.): Omsk scientific center of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences

State and Municipal Management Scholar Notes, 2020, vol. 4, 97-103

Abstract: The article develops the question of the influence of "demographic holes" on population decline on the materials of the regions of the Siberian Federal District. Research hypothesis: the expected decline in population is due to the superposition of two "demographic holes". As a result of the presence of demographic holes, the aging processes of the population are intensifying. To test this hypothesis, it is proposed to calculate the parameters of population aging in the Siberian Federal District at the beginning of 2020, as well as to analyze the dynamics of the aging index. The conclusion was made about a high level of old age of the population. Since 2015, there has been an intensification of the aging process of the population, which is due to a sharp increase in the proportion of people 65 years and older. Despite this, the impact of population aging processes on the total fertility rate and, therefore, on demographic growth is not significant. Regression analysis revealed that the unemployment rate, the value of which increased significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, has the greatest negative impact on demographic growth.

Keywords: demographic hole; demographic growth; population aging; COVID-19 pandemic; unemployment rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://repec.ranepa.ru/rnp/smmscn/s20414.pdf

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rnp:smmscn:s20414

Access Statistics for this article

State and Municipal Management Scholar Notes is currently edited by Tatiana Ignatova

More articles in State and Municipal Management Scholar Notes from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by RANEPA maintainer ().

 
Page updated 2023-06-15
Handle: RePEc:rnp:smmscn:s20414