Demographic abyss or regularity? To the problem of population management (by the example of the regions of the Russian Federation and the world)

Демографическая бездна или закономерность? К проблеме управления численностью населения (на примере регионов РФ и мира)

Alexander V. Kokin (Кокин А.В.), Yulia Yu. Sadovnikova (Садовникова Ю.Ю.), Yulia A. Mashchenko (Мащенко Ю.А.) and Lyudmila N. Timeichuk (Тимейчук Л.Н.)
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Alexander V. Kokin (Кокин А.В.): South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Yulia Yu. Sadovnikova (Садовникова Ю.Ю.): South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Yulia A. Mashchenko (Мащенко Ю.А.): South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Lyudmila N. Timeichuk (Тимейчук Л.Н.): South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

State and Municipal Management Scholar Notes, 2023, vol. 4, 24-32

Abstract: A different correlation has been established for different regions of the South of the Russian Federation of the following demographic factors: life expectancy, the ratio of births to deaths, the average life expectancy of men and women, their difference in age, as well as per capita gross regional product. For a world population of about 5 billion people and 51 states of the world, a single natural relationship has been estab-lished between an increase in average life expectancy and a decrease in the ratio of the number of births and deaths, regardless of the level of socio-economic development of the regions. The problem of population management in regions and states of different socio-economic levels is associated with the need to solve exclusively socio-economic problems, including in the direction of reducing the difference in the average life expectancy of men and women. Harmonization of the steady state of demographic dynamics is established at the points of the ratio of births and deaths near the golden numbers: 0.618, 1.618, 2.618.

Keywords: demographic factors; correlation; birth rate; mortality; average life expectancy for men and women; per capita income; patterns of change in demographic factors; population management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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