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Modelling Italian Inflation, 1970-2006

Emanuele Bacchiocchi

Rivista di Politica Economica, 2009, issue 1, 65-110

Abstract: In this paper we propose a model for the dynamics of inflation in Italy. It is shown that both in the short and long run the inflation patterns cannot be explained by a single cause. Changes in monetary and credit markets, and in many sectors of the Italian economy suggest to split the sample period into two sub-samples and modelling inflation differently for each of the periods. Moreover, a robustness analysis rejects the hypothesis of a structural break associated with the institutional changes occurred in 1999, with the adhesion to the EMU and the adoption of the euro.

Keywords: inflation dynamics; structural breaks; equilibrium correction models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E00 E31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rpo:ripoec:y:2009:i:1:p:65-110

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