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A Historical Application Of The Export-Base Model: Economic Impacts Of An Indian Reservation

Thomas Harris, Rangesan Narayanan, Kambiz Raffiee and Qingun Qi
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Rangesan Narayanan: University of Nevada, Reno
Kambiz Raffiee: University of Nevada, Reno
Qingun Qi: University of Nevada, Reno

The Review of Regional Studies, 1992, vol. 22, issue 2, 185-198

Abstract: This study addresses the problem of backcasting an export-base multiplier where data for earlier time periods do not exist. A procedure is outlined to backcast an export-base multiplier when the calculated export-base multiplier, using existing data, is found to be statistically unstable. An application is developed to estimate cumulative employment impacts in Churchill County, Nevada, as a result of nonperformance of a contract for delivered water between the Bureau of Reclamation and the Fallon Indians. Employment export-base multipliers were backcasted to 1910.

Date: 1992
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