EU Balkan Member States between Economic Periphery and Cohesion. To a New Regional Leader in an EU of Contradictions?
Victor Ionescu ()
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Victor Ionescu: Dunarea de Jos University
Romanian Journal of Regional Science, 2018, vol. 12, issue 2, 1-34
Abstract:
The paper deals to the idea that the EU Balkan region would become a growth pole even that the present regional development disparities are high. This is why the “new EU” has to create new opportunities for the EU Balkan Member States. The analysis in the paper is focused on the following indicators: GDP, private consumption, public consumption, gross fixed capital formation, exports and imports. In order to quantify the regional disparities between the Member States in this region, the analysis is built on the following algorithm :the correlation analysis, regression analysis and cluster analysis. In order to point out the economic trend in the region, forecasting procedures are used for the 2019-2021 period. The mathematic analysis is supported by IBM-SPSS software. The main conclusion of the paper is that the Balkan economies will continue to develop under a divergent way and the regional disparities will increase, at least on short and medium terms.
Keywords: regional disparities; regional leader; Balkan economies; economic performances (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R10 R11 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rrs:journl:v:12:y:2018:i:2:p:1-34
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