Development and Forecast of Unemployment in the Czech Republic in Comparison with EU Countries

Kateřina Jíchová and Jozef Adamko

Littera Scripta, 2025, vol. 18, issue 2

Abstract: The aim of this thesis was to evaluate the development of unemployment in the Czech Republic, compare it with neighboring countries, and subsequently predict its future development. To achieve this goal, time series analysis, the Prophet prediction model, and correlation measurements supplemented by a graphical representation of the Beveridge curve were used. The results showed that the Czech Republic has long been one of the countries with the lowest unemployment rates in the region, with future developments indicating a slight downward trend and a significantly indirect relationship between unemployment and job vacancies. These findings contributed to a better understanding of the dynamics of the Czech labor market. However, the research is limited by data availability, time constraints, and the dependence of predictions on the stability of the economic environment, which opens up space for further studies focused on other regions or more detailed structural analyses.

Keywords: Unemployment; Czech Republic; European Union; Prophet; Beveridge curve; job vacancies; regional comparisons (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rsg:littra:2025-012

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