SOME ASPECTS REGARDING THE FORECASTING INFORMATION SYSTEM ACTIVITY

Alexandru Manole, Ana Carp, Doina Avram and Doina Burea
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Alexandru Manole: „Artifex” University of Bucharest
Doina Avram: Bucharest University of Economic Studies
Doina Burea: Bucharest University of Economic Studies

Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, 2017, vol. 65, issue 4, 9-14

Abstract: Activity prediction (forecasting) of the national economy plays an important role in future projects. Although the conditions of free market activity macroeoconomicã it must be projected to be expected to know the perspective that this economy will grow. The authors consider that the main aspects of implementing the theoretical prediction activity is beneficial. From this point of view, an important role for macroeconomic forecasting plays indicator system use. Thus, taking into account the classification of the main macroeconomic indicators authors do an inventory on accestora revealing that the main categories (groups of indicators) are those of the general business of the warning system, coincidence or delays in implementing the plan forecast. Of course, every subgroup of indicators plays an important role in macroeconomic. But, essentially, it is that this activity forecasting must consider this as a single complex system. Based on their view of the main elements of trends in individual and concerted then these indicators gives a realistic trend on macroeconomic growth. Against this background it stresses the role that has the system of national accounts and macroeconomic analysis filing system that can be used in business forecasting. Based on national accounts, to give some ideas on macroeconomic indicators of results that can be calculated, the structural elements thereof to facilitate an opportunity for comprehensive analysis, structural and on which can lead to the identification, forecasting the trend of evolution . Well formalized system of national accounts is that by taking into account the elements contained in it, make building a macroeconomic model, on which to make a realistic forecast. It is in this sense, the authors established several mathematical relationships from which it can calculate quantitative analysis with qualitative perspective, the main macroeconomic developments.

Keywords: forecast; account national; macroeconomic model; mathematical function; variable structure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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