ERSA Working Paper Series

2021 - 2025

Current editor(s): Guangling Liu

From Economic Research Southern Africa
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2025

Unlocking the Potential of Cities as Drivers of Growth pp. 13

Economic Research Southern Africa

Monetary Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 23

Nicola Viegi

Basic Education Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 28

Martin Gustafsson and Kholosa Nonkenge

Industrial Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 29

Trudi Makhaya

Labour Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 37

Vimal Rancchod, Gabriel Espi-Sanchis and Andrew Kerr

Fiscal Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 44

Estian Calitz

Environmental Policy in South Africa: From 1994 to now pp. 44

Brent Cloete and Bradley Kent

Flow-Specific Capital Controls for China

Fernando Garcia-Barragan, Chris Garbers and Guangling Liu

Health Policy in South Africa - From 1994 to now: Towards convergence between public and private health financing

Andrew Donaldson and Tamar Kahn

Post-School Education and Training Policies in South Africa: From 1994 to now

Nicola Branson and Emma Whitelaw

The Fiscal Theory of Income Distribution in Action: South African Low-income vs. High-Income Earners Response to Fiscal Policy Shocks

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu

The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix

Guangling Liu and Marrium Mustapher

Using Apple Products to Evaluate the Law of One Price and Exchange Rate Passthrough

Hylton Hollander, Rick Walker, Dawie van Lill and Gideon du Rand

2024

Getting Exports Back on Track

Lawrence Edwards, Jing Chien and Matthew Stern

Trade Policy Research Priorities for South Africa

Lawrence Edwards, Jing Chien and Matthew Stern

Trade and Industrial Policy for South Africa’s Future

Lawrence Edwards

Trouble Every Day: Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Economy

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Giovanni Ricco and Nicola Viegi

Enforcement Spillovers under Different Networks: The Case of Quotas for Persons with Disabilities in Brazil

Jessica Gagete-Miranda

Unleashing International Trade through Financial Integration: Evidence from a Cross-Border Payment System

Lucas A. Mariani, Gustavo Cortes and Vinicios P. Sant'anna

Financial inclusion effects of fintech ecosystem engagement

Odongo Kodongo

The effect of temperature on household hourly electricity consumption: evidence from South Africa

Steven Koch and Yuxiang Ye

The Efficiency of State Aid for the Deployment of High-Speed Broadband: Evidence from the French Market

Lukasz Grzybowski, Marc Bourreau and Angela Munoz-Acevedo

How Credit Constrained Are Family-Owned SMEs in Arab Countries?

Grakolet Gourene, Zuzana Brixiova Schwidrowski, Jiri Balcar and Lenka Johnson Filipova

Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

Hylton Hollander, Rick Walker, Dawie van Lill and Gideon du Rand

2023

Tax Effort and Capacity in Developing Countries: Unravelling the impact of the informal economy

Ezekiel Ngitoria Lengaram

Banks’ Physical Footprint and Financial Technology Adoption

Lucas A. Mariani, José Renato H. Ornelas and Bernardo Ricca

Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence analysis in South Africa

Carolyn Chisadza, Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu, Ramos Mabugu, Nicky Nicholls, Kehinde Oluwaseun Omotoso and Eleni Yitbarek

International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation

Lucas A. Mariani and Silvia Marchesi

A review of the strategies adopted between 2015 and 2022 towards two South African local government water supply crises

Stephen Hosking and Marius van der Merwe

Demographic changes and asset prices in an overlapping generations model

Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, Frank Riedel and Ghislain H. Demeze-Jouatsa

2022

The macroeconomics of establishing a basic income grant in South Africa

Hylton Hollander, Roy Haveman and Daan Steenkamp

Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds

Mulalo Mamburu

Why and how to measure the contribution of South Africa's ocean economy

Stephen Hosking and Odwa Mtati

Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Neryvia Pillay and Johannes W. Fedderke

Import Tariff Pass-through Effect and the Spatial Distribution of Domestic Consumer Goods Prices: Zimbabwe (2009-2014)

Everisto Madziva Mugocha and Haroon Bhorat

Does 'price framing' influence empirical estimates in Discrete Choice Experiments: The case study for the South African wine industry

Lydia Chikumbi and Milan Scasny

The Long-Term Effects of Early-Life Exposure to Weather Shocks: Evidence from Tanzania

Ermias Gebru Weldesenbet

The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

Roy Havemann, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price-exchange rate-asymmetry perspectives

Kazeem Isah, AbdulKader Mahomedy, Elias Udeaja, Ojo Adelakun and Yusuf Yakubu

Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence

Steven F Koch

Big data forecasting of South African inflation

Byron Botha, Rulof Burger, Kevin Kotze, Neil Rankin and Daan Steenkamp

Contagion across Financial Markets during COVID-19: A Look at Volatility Spillovers between the Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets in South Africa

Chevaughn van der Westhuizen, Renee van Eyden and Goodness C. Aye

Climate Change and Child Health: A Nigerian Perspective

Eduard van der Merwe, Matthew Clance and Eleni Yitbarek

Does the uptake of multiple climate smart agriculture practices enhance household savings, food security and household vulnerability to climate change? Insights from Zimbabwe

Boscow Okumu, Herbert Ntuli, Edwin Muchapondwa, Gibson Mudiriza and Alfred Mukong

2021

Measuring and Testing a Modified Version of the South African Financial Cycle

Malibongwe Cyprian Nyathi, Christian K Tipoy and Paul F Muzindutsi

Household debt and consumption dynamics: A non developed world view following the financial crisis

Steven F Koch, Adel Bosch and Matthew Clance

Government Religious Preference and Intrastate Conflict

Eduard van der Merwe, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

Risk and Return Spillovers in a Global Model of the Foreign Exchange Network

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

Differential Corporate taxation and inter-asset investment distortions in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

Human Capital and the Timing of the First Birth

Jesse Naidoo

Corporate taxation and firm-level investment in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

Fiscal risks and their impact on banks’ capital buffers in South Africa

Konstantin Makrelov, Neryvia Pillay and Bojosi Morule

The effect of cigarette price changes on smoking prevalence by gender: the case of South Africa

Zachary Gitonga, Nicole Vellios and Corne van Walbeek

Income Convergence in Southern Africa: A Non-linear Time-Varying Coefficients Approach

Ntokozo Nzimande

Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

Understanding the behaviour of house prices and household income per capita in South Africa: Application of the asymmetric autoregressive distributed lag model

Anthanasius Fomum Tita and Pieter Opperman

Impact of technological progress on carbon emissions in different country income groups

Chris Belmert Milinidi and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

Reigniting Economic Growth: Lessons from three centuries of data

Roy Havemann and Edward Kerby

Financial development and income inequality: A nonlinear econometric analysis of 21 African countries, 1994-2015

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu and Lorraine Greyling

Health Inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa

Johan Fourie and Jonathan Jayes

Taxpayer responsiveness to taxation: Evidence from bunching at kink points of the South African income tax schedule

Neryvia Pillay

The Effect of Colonial and Pre-Colonial Institutions on Contemporary Education in Africa

Leone Walters, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

The transmission of monetary policy via the banks' balance sheet - does bank size matter?

Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi

Phases of Higher Education, Tuition Grants, and Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff

Yoseph Getachew

Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve

Nicola Viegi and Vincent Dadam

The effects of technology intensity in manufacturing on CO2 emissions: Evidence from developing countries

Elvis Avenyo and Fiona Tregenna

Relationship between education and households’ electricity-saving behaviours in South Africa: A multilevel logistic analysis

Kabeya Clement Mulamba

Social distancing in Macroeconomic Models

Yoseph Getachew