ERSA Working Paper Series

2020 - 2025

Current editor(s): Guangling Liu

From Economic Research Southern Africa
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Maggi Sigg ().

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2023

Tax Effort and Capacity in Developing Countries: Unravelling the impact of the informal economy

Ezekiel Ngitoria Lengaram

Banks’ Physical Footprint and Financial Technology Adoption

Lucas A. Mariani, José Renato H. Ornelas and Bernardo de Oliveira Guerra Ricca

Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence analysis in South Africa

Carolyn Chisadza, Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu, Ramos Mabugu, Nicky Nicholls, Kehinde Oluwaseun Omotoso and Eleni Yitbarek

International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation

Lucas A. Mariani and Silvia Marchesi

A review of the strategies adopted between 2015 and 2022 towards two South African local government water supply crises

Stephen Hosking and Marius van der Merwe

Demographic changes and asset prices in an overlapping generations model

Beatrice Desiree Simo-Kengne, Frank Riedel and Ghislain H. Demeze-Jouatsa

2022

The macroeconomics of establishing a basic income grant in South Africa

Hylton Hollander, Roy Haveman and Daan Steenkamp

Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds

Mulalo Mamburu

Why and how to measure the contribution of South Africa's ocean economy

Stephen Hosking and Odwa Mtati

Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Neryvia Pillay and Johannes W. Fedderke

Import Tariff Pass-through Effect and the Spatial Distribution of Domestic Consumer Goods Prices: Zimbabwe (2009-2014)

Everisto Madziva Mugocha and Haroon Bhorat

Does 'price framing' influence empirical estimates in Discrete Choice Experiments: The case study for the South African wine industry

Lydia Chikumbi and Milan Ščasný

The Long-Term Effects of Early-Life Exposure to Weather Shocks: Evidence from Tanzania

Ermias Gebru Weldesenbet

The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

Roy Havemann, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price-exchange rate-asymmetry perspectives

Kazeem Isah, AbdulKader Mahomedy, Elias Udeaja, Ojo Adelakun and Yusuf Yakubu

Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence

Steven F Koch

Big data forecasting of South African inflation

Byron Botha, Rulof Burger, Kevin Kotze, Neil Rankin and Daan Steenkamp

Contagion across Financial Markets during COVID-19: A Look at Volatility Spillovers between the Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets in South Africa

Chevaughn van der Westhuizen, Renee van Eyden and Goodness C. Aye

Climate Change and Child Health: A Nigerian Perspective

Eduard van der Merwe, Matthew Clance and Eleni Yitbarek

Does the uptake of multiple climate smart agriculture practices enhance household savings, food security and household vulnerability to climate change? Insights from Zimbabwe

Boscow Okumu, Herbert Ntuli, Edwin Muchapondwa, Gibson Mudiriza and Alfred Mukong

2021

Measuring and Testing a Modified Version of the South African Financial Cycle

Malibongwe Cyprian Nyathi, Christian K Tipoy and Paul F Muzindutsi

Household debt and consumption dynamics: A non developed world view following the financial crisis

Steven F Koch, Adel Bosch and Matthew Clance

Government Religious Preference and Intrastate Conflict

Eduard van der Merwe, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

Risk and Return Spillovers in a Global Model of the Foreign Exchange Network

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

Differential Corporate taxation and inter-asset investment distortions in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

Human Capital and the Timing of the First Birth

Jesse Naidoo

Corporate taxation and firm-level investment in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

Fiscal risks and their impact on banks’ capital buffers in South Africa

Konstantin Makrelov, Neryvia Pillay and Bojosi Morule

The effect of cigarette price changes on smoking prevalence by gender: the case of South Africa

Zachary Gitonga, Nicole Vellios and Corne van Walbeek

Income Convergence in Southern Africa: A Non-linear Time-Varying Coefficients Approach

Ntokozo Nzimande

Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

Understanding the behaviour of house prices and household income per capita in South Africa: Application of the asymmetric autoregressive distributed lag model

Anthanasius Fomum Tita and Pieter Opperman

Impact of technological progress on carbon emissions in different country income groups

Chris Belmert Milinidi and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

Reigniting Economic Growth: Lessons from three centuries of data

Roy Havemann and Edward Kerby

Financial development and income inequality: A nonlinear econometric analysis of 21 African countries, 1994-2015

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu and Lorraine Greyling

Health Inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa

Johan Fourie and Jonathan Jayes

Taxpayer responsiveness to taxation: Evidence from bunching at kink points of the South African income tax schedule

Neryvia Pillay

The Effect of Colonial and Pre-Colonial Institutions on Contemporary Education in Africa

Leone Walters, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

The transmission of monetary policy via the banks' balance sheet - does bank size matter?

Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi

Phases of Higher Education, Tuition Grants, and Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff

Yoseph Getachew

Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve

Nicola Viegi and Vincent Dadam

The effects of technology intensity in manufacturing on CO2 emissions: Evidence from developing countries

Elvis Avenyo and Fiona Tregenna

Relationship between education and households’ electricity-saving behaviours in South Africa: A multilevel logistic analysis

Kabeya Clement Mulamba

Social distancing in Macroeconomic Models

Yoseph Getachew

2020

A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa

Francois Jacobus Stofberg, Jan Horn van Heerden and Heinrich Bohlmann

Forest commons, vertical integration and smallholder’s saving, and investment responses: Evidence from a quasi-experiment

Dambala Gelo

Consumer Preferences for Genetically Modified Organisms in Cape Town: A Choice Experiment Approach

Benjamin Dovey and Herbert Ntuli

Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multi-Group SIR Model

Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Ivan Werning and Micheal D Whinston

Palm Oil and the politics of Deforestation in Indonesia

Elias Cisneros, Krisztina Kis-Katos and Nunung Nuryartono

Late Colonial Antecedents of Modern Democracy

Christian Bjørnskov and Martin Rode

Contagion without deposit insurance: The South African small bank crisis of 2002/3

Roy Havemann

Financial Statecraft: Government Choice of Debt Instruments

Eric Arias, Layna Mosley and B. Peter Rosendorff

The Global Transmission of U.S Monetary Policy

Riccardo Degasperi, Seokki Simon Hong and Giovanni Ricco

Does the Pursuit of Outreach Consistently Stifle the Financial Performance of Microfinance Institutions in sub-Saharan African?

Sydney Chikalipah

The impacts of unconditional cash transfers on schooling in adolescence and young adulthood: Evidence from South Africa

Neryvia Pillay

The Effect of Tobacco and Alcohol Control Policies on Household Sending Patterns in Kenya: An Approach Using Matched Difference in Differences

Abel Otwori Nyagwachi, Grieve Chelwa and Corne van Walbeek

Does the choice of balance-measure matter under Genetic Matching?

Adeola Oyenubi and Martin Wittenberg

The persistence of apartheid regional wage disparities in South Africa

Gibson Mudiriza and Lawrence Edwards

Fiscal Rules and the Compliance debate: Why do Countries adopt Rules and fail to comply?

Martin Wafula Nandelenga and Mark J Ellyne

Spillovers of the Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy from the US to South Africa

Alain Kabundi, Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi

Redistribution, inequality, and efficiency with credit constraints

Yoseph Getachew and Stephen J Turnovsky

Emergent large traders in smallholder grain markets and their role in enhancing adoption of sustainable agricultural intensification practices in Kenya

Chalmers Mulwa, Jayne Ts, Milu Muyanga and Martine Visser

The optimal monetary and macroprudential policies for the South African economy

Guangling Liu and Thabang Molise

Efficiency of provincial public healthcare in South Africa

Victor Ngobeni, Marthinus C Breitenbach and Goodness C. Aye

Modelling required energy consumption with equivalence scales

Yuxiang Ye, Steven F Koch and Jiangfeng Zhang

Exploring evidence of spatial economic agglomeration in Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality, Gauteng, South Africa

Koech Cheruiyot

'Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between innovation and exports in African firms

Elvis Korku Avenyo, Fiona Tregenna and Kwanele Ngwadleka

Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change and Conflict in Africa

Eoin F. McGuirk and Nathan Nunn

Measuring energy poverty in South Africa based on household required energy consumption

Yuxiang Ye and Steven F Koch

Time consistency and economic growth: A case study of South African macroeconomic policy

Christopher Loewald, David Faulkner and Konstantin Makrelov

'Quantitative Easing' and central bank asset purchases in South Africa: A DSGE approach

Cobus Vermeulen

On sensitivity of Genetic Matching to the choice of balance measure

Adeola Oyenubi

The time-varying elasticity of South African electricity demand: 1980 - 2018

Cobus Vermeulen and Kabelo Masike

Impact of social transfers on depressive symptoms: Evidence from the South African Old age Pension

Adeola Oyenubi and Joseph Ajefu

The impact of AGOA on Export Flows from sub-Saharan Africa: A dynamic system GMM analysis

Oro Oro Ufuo and Paul Alagidede

Does Child Support Grant incentivise childbirth in South Africa?

Adeola Oyenubi and Uma Kollamparambil

How Buoyant Is the South African Tax System? An ARDL Approach

Baneng Naape and Nyasha Mahonye

Does household net financial wealth explain the asymmetric reaction of household consumption to monetary policy shocks in South Africa?

Eliphas Ndou

Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income level

Jessika A Bohlmann and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

A Sequence to Reverse Poverty: Institutions, State Capacity and Human Empowerment

Sansia Blackmore and Renee van Eyden

Prenatal health and weather-related shocks under social safety net policy in Kenya

Silas Ongudi and Djiby Thiam

The South African – United States Sovereign Bond Spread and its Association with Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Johannes W. Fedderke