THE PROFITABILITY OF FOLLOWING ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS ON THE POLISH STOCK MARKET

Adam Zaremba () and Przemys³aw Konieczka ()

"e-Finanse", 2015, vol. 11, issue 1, 22-31

Abstract: The profitability of analysts’ recommendations is documented in numerous studies from all over the world. However, the evidence from the Polish market is relatively modest. The primary aim of this study is to fill this gap. The paper contributes to the economic literature in four ways. First, it provides fresh out-of-sample evidence on return patterns following analysts’ recommendations from Poland. Second, it examines the relations between these patterns and the size of the rated companies. Finally, it investigates whether it is possible to design profitable strategies based on the discovered patterns. We use monthly stock level data from Poland and the sample period is 2004-2013. In order to examine the profitability of analysts’ reports, we build market-neutral portfolios and test their performance against CAPM, Fama-French three-factor and Carhart fourfactor models. The principal findings can be summarized as follows. First, we document that the top rated companies deliver better returns than the bottom rated companies. Second, we find that the profitability is particularly impressive among the small companies. Third, the abnormal returns are partially explained by momentum and value based factors. Finally, we provide evidence that strategies based on information in recommendations deliver statistically significant positive abnormal rates of return.

Keywords: stock market; stock recommendations; analysts; Warsaw Stock Exchange Least Squares Method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://e-finanse.com/artykuly_eng/297.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rze:efinan:v:11:y:2015:i:1:p:22-31

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in "e-Finanse" from University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Pawel Bochenek ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).