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The Expanded Child Tax Credit: Impacts on Food Insufficiency Across Demographic Subgroups in the United States

Bahram Adrangi, William Barnes and Derek Berning

The American Economist, 2024, vol. 69, issue 1, 148-167

Abstract: We investigate the association of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) program with food insufficiency and related anxieties among families with incomes below $35000. Analyzing the US Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey data, our xtprobit specification and estimation reveals the disparate impact of the CTC across demographic and racial divides, a departure from previous work. Subgroup analyses reveal that the final two CTC installments disproportionately benefited Hispanic households and those earning under $25000/year while producing no significant decrease in food insufficiency for black households or those earning $25000–$35000/year. The study indicates that the expanded CTC’s reduction of low-income households’ food insufficiency persisted across the program’s duration. Thus, the expansion achieved its intended purpose by helping to buffer low-income families against the fallout of the disrupted pandemic economy—an important result to keep in mind as policy makers continue to consider modifications to the CTC that improve efficacy and equity. JEL Codes: A12, A13, A14

Keywords: household pulse survey; child tax credit; difference-in-difference; food insufficiency; probit model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:amerec:v:69:y:2024:i:1:p:148-167

DOI: 10.1177/05694345231217180

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