 Crowding Out of Private Sector in Tanzania: Government Expenditure, Domestic Borrowing, and Lending RatesEnock Mwakalila Emerging Economy Studies, 2020, vol. 6, issue 1, 123-135 Abstract: Abstract This study empirically analyzes the impact of government expenditure and domestic borrowing on credit to the private sector in Tanzania by increasing lending rates. Quarterly time series data are collected from 2004 to 2018. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model estimation with a bound cointegration test is used to establish the short- and long-run relationships, and the results are subjected to diagnostic tests for robustness. The result shows that government expenditure and domestic borrowing crowd out credit to the private sector by increasing the lending rate in the long run. This calls for the Tanzanian government to reduce some of its deficit spending and domestic borrowing, and instead look for another way to increase the tax revenue using loans from external sources to fund its budget deficit. Also, the study recommends that the government should put more effort on improving private sector development by making the country an easy place to do business, which in turn will increase the tax base through corporate tax and income tax from business employees. Keywords: Crowding out; lending rates; private sector credit; ARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:emecst:v:6:y:2020:i:1:p:123-135 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Emerging Economy Studies from International Management Institute |
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