The Valley of Death for New Energy Technologies

Peter Hartley and Kenneth Medlock

The Energy Journal, 2017, vol. 38, issue 3, 33-62

Abstract: It is often claimed that a difficulty of raising investment funds prevents promising new energy technologies from attaining commercial viability. We examine this issue using a dynamic intertemporal model of the displacement of fossil fuel energy technologies by non-fossil alternatives. Our model highlights the fact that since capital used to produce energy services from fossil fuels is a sunk cost, it will continue to be used so long as the price of energy covers merely short-run operating costs. Until fossil fuels are abandoned, the price of energy is insufficient to cover even the operating costs of renewable energy production, let alone provide a competitive return on the capital employed. The full long-run costs of renewable energy production are not covered until some time after fossil fuels are abandoned.

Keywords: Energy innovation; energy transition; valley of death (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5547/01956574.38.3.phar (text/html)

Related works:
Journal Article: The Valley of Death for New Energy Technologies (2017)
Working Paper: The Valley of Death for New Energy Technologies (2014)
Working Paper: The Valley of Death for New Energy Technologies (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:enejou:v:38:y:2017:i:3:p:33-62

DOI: 10.5547/01956574.38.3.phar

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