 Comparing the Risk Spillover from Oil and Gas to Investment Grade and High-yield Bonds through Optimal CopulasMd Lutfur Rahman, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, Gazi Uddin and Anupam Dutta The Energy Journal, 2022, vol. 43, issue 1, 215-239 Abstract: This paper compares the tail dependence and risk spillovers from the oil and gas to high-yield (HY) and investment grade (IG) bond markets. We use time-varying optimal copula framework to examine the dependence and further quantify upside and downside risk spillovers. We also explore how energy futures can be used to hedge risk of HY and IG bond portfolios. Our results show that the bond returns are more sensitive to risk shocks in the oil market compared to gas market. We find both negative and positive tail dependence between the bond and energy pairs and the relationship is stronger during the oil-crunch period. The dependence however is asymmetric across the tails. Finally, compared to oil futures, gas futures are found to be better hedge for the bond investment. These results can help in managing portfolio risk and designing optimal asset allocation strategies. These might also assist in formulating policies and regulations to manage the effects of cross-market risk transmissions. Keywords: Dynamic dependence; Risk spillover; Bond and energy market; Time-varying optimal copula; Conditional value-at-risk (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:enejou:v:43:y:2022:i:1:p:215-239 DOI: 10.5547/01956574.43.1.mrah Access Statistics for this article More articles in The Energy Journal |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.