On the Coherence between Dynamics of the World Fuel Consumption and Global Temperature Anomaly

L.B. Klyashtorin and A.A. Lyubushin
Additional contact information
L.B. Klyashtorin: Federal Institute for Fisheries and Oceanography (VNIRO), 107140 Moscow, B. Krasnoselskaya, 17. Russia
A.A. Lyubushin: Institute of the Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

Energy & Environment, 2003, vol. 14, issue 6, 773-782

Abstract: Analysis of the long-term dynamics of World Fuel Consumption (WFC) and the Global Temperature anomaly (dT) for the last 140 years (1961–2000) shows that unlike the monotonously and exponentially increasing WFC, the dynamics of global dT against the background of a linear, age-long trend, undergo quasi-cyclic fluctuations with about 60 a year period. No true linear correlation has taken place between the dT and WFC dynamics in the last century. Spectral analysis of reconstructed temperature for the last 1420 years and instrumentally measured for the last 140 years global dT shows that dominant period for its variations for the last 1000 years lies in the 5060 years interval. Modelling of roughly 60–years cyclic dT changes suggest that the observed rise of dT will flatten in the next 5–10 years, and that we might expect a lowering of dT by nearly 1–0.15°C to the end of the 2020s.

Keywords: global warming; fuel consumption; global climate variations; spectral analysis; time-frequency analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1260/095830503322793641 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:engenv:v:14:y:2003:i:6:p:773-782

DOI: 10.1260/095830503322793641

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Energy & Environment
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().