On Making Flexible Projections of Age-Specific Net Migration

D B Pittenger
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D B Pittenger: Population, Enrollment, and Economic Studies Division, Office of Financial Management, House Office Building, Olympia, Washington 98504, USA

Environment and Planning A, 1978, vol. 10, issue 11, 1253-1272

Abstract: Traditional methods of projecting age-specific migration for local areas are based on inflexible migration patterns. Ideally, forecast results should be isomorphic with the intent of the forecaster, so flexible models are called for. To this end, a parameterized model that incorporates directional flows is presented along with a theoretical scheme for its operation. It is asserted that the new model provides much of the needed flexibility, but at the cost of added complexity.

Date: 1978
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:10:y:1978:i:11:p:1253-1272

DOI: 10.1068/a101253

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