Spectral Analysis and Distributed Lags in Geographical Studies of Local Unemployment: 2. Distributed Lags
R Dunn
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R Dunn: Department of Geography, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, England
Environment and Planning A, 1983, vol. 15, issue 8, 1043-1055
Abstract:
This is the second part of a two-part paper in which the related topics of spectral analysis and the identification and estimation of distributed-lag models between time series are discussed. This paper is mainly concerned with distributed-lag models, in particular the use of spectral estimators developed by Hannan. A number of previous studies have used the phase statistics from the cross-spectrum as an indication of lead/lag relations between unemployment series, but it is shown here that this is likely to lead to incorrect conclusions. As an empirical example, lead/lag relations between local unemployment in Severnside and the national series are investigated. The correspondence between time-domain (regression) and frequency-domain (spectral) methods of estimating relations between time series is also discussed, using empirical material from both parts of the paper.
Date: 1983
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:15:y:1983:i:8:p:1043-1055
DOI: 10.1068/a151043
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