Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970

A R Pickles, R B Davies and R Crouchley
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A R Pickles: Department of Geography, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60201, USA
R B Davies: Department of Town Planning, University of Wales Institute of Science and Technology, Cardiff CF1 3NU, Wales
R Crouchley: Department of Sociology, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 5XH, England

Environment and Planning A, 1984, vol. 16, issue 9, 1237-1247

Abstract: A two-state Markov model of individual voting transitions is developed which allows voters to differ with respect to their voting propensities and loyalties. Such a model allows the estimation of various process parameters without the specification errors common in other models. Additional parameters are introduced to allow for the effects of a third party, considerably extending the scope of application. The model is applied to the electoral voting histories for 1964, 1966, and 1970 of 671 individuals from sixty-seven English constituencies.

Date: 1984
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:16:y:1984:i:9:p:1237-1247

DOI: 10.1068/a161237

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