Sex Offenders and Residential Location: A Predictive–Analytical Framework

Elizabeth A Mack and Tony Grubesic

Environment and Planning A, 2010, vol. 42, issue 8, 1925-1942

Abstract: Despite the growing body of research examining the collateral consequences of legislation governing sex offenders, a complete understanding of their residential choices post release remains elusive. This paper develops a predictive–analytical framework that helps determine which demographic and socioeconomic factors best forecast the residential choices of convicted sex offenders. Specifically, a derived index of social disorganization (ISDOR) is implemented in both statistical and nonlinear data mining approaches to predict the presence of sex offenders in a community. The results of the analysis are encouraging, predicting nearly 75% of registered offender locations correctly. The utility of this framework as a tool for public policy and law enforcement is discussed.

Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1925-1942

DOI: 10.1068/a42370

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