Predicting Neighborhood Decline within a Large Central City: An Application of Discriminant Analysis

M S Fogarty
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M S Fogarty: Department of Economics, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia 26506, USA

Environment and Planning A, 1977, vol. 9, issue 5, 579-584

Abstract: This paper investigates the use of discriminant analysis as an empirical technique for assisting the urban planner in predicting patterns of neighborhood change. A discriminant model estimated for ninety low-income census tracts within the city of Pittsburgh predicts 97% of upgrading income paths and 92% of downgrading paths over the period 1960 to 1970. Some form of the discriminant model would appear to be a useful guide to policymakers and a reasonable technique for limiting the areas of immediate policy concern.

Date: 1977
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:9:y:1977:i:5:p:579-584

DOI: 10.1068/a090579

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